Unintended Consequences or Lack of Forethought?

Usually, when decisions that we make have a profound impact on other things or people, we say that there were unintended consequences. At times, I will agree. Most of the time, in fact, that is probably true. We may not have intended those consequences, but they happened anyway. In reality, we hoped those bad things weren’t going to happen.

The problem isn’t that the outcomes were completely unforeseen. It’s just that we didn’t think them through enough to understand what the impact would be.

I’ll give an example. Congress decides to offer substantial farm subsidies, greater than normal, for corn grown for ethanol. It is a politically expedient choice to make as it signals to Americans they are finding ways to reduce our dependence on foreign oil. Perhaps on all oil for that matter.

So farmers throughout the Midwest start dedicating their acreage to corn grown for ethanol. They enjoy higher subsidies. We get cheaper blended gas (not available everywhere). Everyone is happy.

Everyone except people who like to eat. With less corn being grown for feed, it gets more expensive to feed cattle, pigs and chickens. It leads to higher prices for meat, milk and anything that contains high fructose corn syrup (check your pantry, and you’ll find that ingredient in most non-organically produced products).

Oh yeah, and the potential costs of using corn-based ethanol as our primary fuel source far outweighs any benefit. Certainly, there are other options, such as sugar or nearly any other starch producing product. Many of the same issues, however, are likely to appear.

Additionally, once we figure out the best option, we will have to wait several years for widespread access while automakers design, build and sell the cars that will run on the fuel. Other countries have a bit of a headstart on us, but they don’t consume nearly the amount of fuel that we do in America, so it’s not a fair comparison.

For the record, let me state that I am an enormous proponent of reducing our dependence on all oil, both foreign and domestic. But with the world having more mouths to feed every day and less land for farming at nearly the same rate, Earth-bound, plant-based fuels is not the way to go.

I don’t have the solution, so, in reality, I should keep my mouth shut on this (one of my mantras is that you have no right to criticize unless you have an alternative to offer).

No. As a matter of fact, I do have some solutions. Many of which would be easy to implement and in some cases are already there.

• Business tax credits for telecommuting—the technology is available for most businesses
• Time shifts to reduce energy usage and traffic buildups
• Investments in light rail
• Greater emphasis on fuel-efficient commuter vehicles (save the SUVs for weekend family excursions)

And we’d still be able to eat.

Check out this Wikipedia entry about ethanol for a pretty good look at the issue from all sides.

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